Debunking The Latest Fake News Narrative

CNN published an exclusive piece on Thursday alleging that “Evidence emerges of Russia’s Wagner arming militia leader battling Sudan’s army”. They claim that satellite imagery shows increased Russian military transport activity between Libya and Syria in the run-up to Sudan’s “deep state” war. According to CNN, this confirms rumors that General Haftar is supplying Rapid Support Forces’ (RSF) leader General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (“Hamedti”) with surface-to-air missiles (SAM) on behalf of Wagner.

forces’ side in Sudan’s “deep state” war. According to Benjamin Hunter, “N’Djamena is likely to oppose (Dagalo) due to fears that RSF dominance in Darfur could empower Chadian Arabs to unseat the (president’s) regime. Many within (Dagalo’s) Rizeigat tribe live across the border in Chad.”

If Chad becomes embroiled in Sudan’s “deep state” war on Burhan’s side, then it might be susceptible to Western suggestions that jumping on the anti-Russian bandwagon like he would have already done in this scenario could lead to them suspending their regime change campaign against N’Djamena. Should that happen, then this regional military heavyweight might also support any potentially forthcoming rebel/terrorist offensive that its historical French partner could soon plot against Russia in the CAR.

Concluding Thoughts

1.Putting everything together, the US plans to achieve the following strategic objectives by introducing the narrative that Russia is arming the RSF.

2.Entice Burhan to extend credence to these claims in exchange for US military support;

3.Demand that he also rescinds Russia’s naval base rights and cuts off its overflight access to the CAR;

4.Consider direct support to the SAF on the pretext of commencing an “evacuation operation” in Sudan;

5.Discredit Russia and the UAE’s African engagement policies by framing both as “destabilizing forces”;

6.Attempt to provoke a crisis in Russia’s relations with Sudan’s Chadian and Egyptian neighbors;

7.Exploit the above scenario to assemble a regional coalition for pushing back against Russia in Africa;

8.Encourage Chad to support a French-backed rebel/terrorist offensive in the Russian-allied CAR;

9.Plot a copycat proxy war in Russian-allied Mali in order to crush the Kremlin’s influence in the Sahel;

10.Perfect this new Hybrid War method prior to employing it all across the continent;

And thus turn Africa into the top proxy war battleground of the New Cold War.

The US therefore has many reasons to push this fake news campaign, though it’s unclear whether it’ll ultimately achieve any of its envisaged objectives or not.